Analisis Pengaruh Ekspor Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia Periode 2000 - 2016

Abstract

The Purpose of this study is the factors affecting Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of Indonesia in the short run and in the long run during 2000 – 2016. Quantitative and qualitative analysis were used in this research. Qualitative analysis describes the export in Indonesia. Quantitative analysis using cointegration approach and Error Correction Model (ECM) methods to estimate the movement between variables in the long run and in the short run. The result of this study are : (1) export in Indonesia is positively correlated with the GDP both in the short run and in the long run, (2) the other factors that promote GDP in Indonesia are investment, labor and foreign exchange, although in the short run labor is not significant statistically (3) imports have negative correlation with economic growth but significant statistically both in the short run and in the long run. Meanwhile, the adjustment term in ECM is found to be significant which implying that short term deviations from long run equilibrium are eliminated within one period.